Friday, 26 June 2020

BLACK LIVES MATTER - LESS THAN $20


“Most of the times when patrons give us a counterfeit bill they don’t even know its fake so when the police are called there is no crime being committed, they just want to know where it came from and that’s usually what takes place"


 By Mel Cooper - 26 June 2020

BLACK LIVES REALLY DO MATTER!
The slogan, BLACK LIVES MATTER, has led to some people saying there should be a footnote acknowledging that ALL LIVES MATTER. I can see why; but you could also interpret the ALL LIVES approach as taking away the energy and importance from a movement that has been deflected and ignored for far too long, diluting the impact of the BLACK LIVES MATTER campaign.

What is going on around the world on this issue seems to me, after all, to be about focus, not exclusion. If something matters it doesn't imply that nothing else matters. You have to put it in context or ALL LIVES MATTER will appear to be dismissive. And after hundreds of years of treating black people first as chattels and then as inferior human beings to be exploited, it is time we all face up to how insidious racism can be, even infecting all kinds of people who cannot see how they are being racist.

And, unlike Dominic Raab, I would be happy to “take a knee” – even though I am too damned old and arthritic. I guess someone would just have to help me up afterwards! Or I could lean on my cane? And, unlike Priti Patel, I think that the hostial environment and its impact not just on Windrush people but also so many EU citizens, is a shameful and despicable approach to the immigration issue and distressingly ignorant about what immigration and freedom of movement has done for this country since WWII.

To rephrase something I read reacently: Anti-black racism is hardwired into America's DNA, and it touches Black lives every single day—from cop killings to predatory lending by banks, to poorly-funded schools. To say ‘Black lives matter’ acknowledges that history in many ways we never did—and does not to suggest that anyone else matters any less.

Meantime, several other matters matter:

MAKE AMERICAN SANE AGAIN
MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN is Trumpian code. The true underlying message is: MAKE AMERICA WHITE AGAIN. 
That is what those crowds of white supremacists are responding to. Sadly, it is also what is behind the Hostile Environment approach in the UK: clearly that is saying: MAKE THE UK WHITER AGAIN.
And the people who feel threatened, scared, the people who are bullies and cowards, will follow the Coward in Chief, Humpty Trumpty, or the Excluder in Chief, Priti Patel, unquestioningly. Trump may not get the great fall that he should. Which will mean, after four more years of his Presidency, the definitive end of the American ideal. Trump is corrupting and picking away at the Constitution daily. Trump has also already done things to the courts of the USA that it will take years to undo.
People are notionally swearing allegiance to the Constitution when they swear allegiance to their flag in the USA, not to some trumped up bully-boy autocratic demagogue. And we in the UK swear allegiance of the Queen, not to the Prime Minister who constantly complains these days about being challenged to explain himself by the Loyal Opposition. The whole point for the Founding Fathers in the USA was that they did not want someone to become another kind of king. And so they set up various systems for removing anyone causing peril to the Constitution. But the entire Republican Party seems to be determined to swear allegiance to King Donald Trump and be his courtiers and reap their rewards. They, like Senator McCarthy of old, have no shame.

STARVING CHILDREN AND STUDENT NURSES
The treatment of first the starving children of this country (the UK), the need to make that U-turn about actually making sure they do not starve this summer; then the dismissal of the needs and the contributions during the Covid Crisis of the student nurses: all this simply proves that the Conservative government and probably, by now, rather like the Republicans in the States, the majority of supporters of this Conservative excuse for a government, are deaf. They are not listening. They are still primarily focused on the narrow interests of the rich people of the UK who do not give a damn.
These are the same kinds of people that Jonathan Swift was thinking of when he wrote A Modest Proposal. What has changed? Yes, some progress may have been made — we did abolish the slave trade, though we had to pay off the slave owners and that debt was only cleared around 2015 — but clearly not nearly enough is different.
If you are worried about finding food for the starving children of the UK or the cost of subsidizing medical training for nurses and doctors, is it not time to bring back the offshore money of UK citizens (never mind whether they are residents or not?) so that it can be properly taxed?
Is it not time to join forces with the rest of the European economies to get the major global companies to pay proper taxes? 
But, oh no, we Brits cannot do that because we have left the EU and we must not do anything with them because it is essential that we are independent and ready to make the best and fastest deals ever made in the history of mankind for trade with all the rest of the world who are all queuing up and gagging for trade deals with us as their top priority. If you believe what the Government tells you …
So, just as after WWII and the Marshall Planning, we are not in any way a part of the European deal. Which means we don’t have to contribute anything, we have not obligations to anyone but ourselves, we are not members of that community and we have no moral obligations whatsoever to the rest of Europe — just as we didn’t under the Conservatives government of 1938. And we all know what a great idea that was!

STATUES ARE REPLACEABLE, PEOPLE AREN'T
Finally, stop going on about the damned statues. Statues are replaceable, people are not. And that one of Edward Colson in Bristol. Who got hurt? There was no riot. It was actually a rather positive event, as far as I could see, with people finally doing something important that should have been done years ago. But of course Priti Patel and the government of Boris Johnson can only see vandalism. To them it is another Boston Tea Party. It is like that guy in the Doctor Strangelove film who was unwilling to break into a Coca Cola machine to retrieve 25 cents that could be used to make a phone call that might save the world. Why? Because it was private property and you cannot mess with private property!
If I were a black person, probably in the UK because descended from slaves who had worked the plantations of the Caribbean once upon a time, I too would find it pretty painful to walk past that statue in Bristol and also Colson Hall every day. So the guy gave a lot of money to the city of Bristol? Good for him. Do not deny that. But do not deny, also, that the money came from owning human beings as livestock and that the livestock human beings were worked harder than any horse or dog, refused any kind of education or chance to widen their understanding of the world, and often treated with contempt and sadism, except maybe for a couple of privileged house slaves —who were cossetted sort of like the Kapos in the Nazi concentration camps, keeping things in order for those in power. It was illegal in many states to teach slaves to read. Think about it.

And while we are on the subject, apply some of the thinking about these things to the anti-Semitic racism of the Labour Party under Jeremy Corbyn. Not to mention the anti-Muslim problems of the Conservative party. Muslims and Jews are telling you something. Are you listening? Racism is not just the nasty, overt stuff that everyone decent can abhor. It is also a lot of insidious acceptance of attitudes that perpetuate the system and without even knowing it or noticing a lot of us probably are colluding much of the time. That is how the accepted and “acceptable” attitude towards Jews in Europe from about 1880 grew into death camps. That is how policemen in the United States feel they can murder black men in their custody and not be held to account.

JUSTICE
Rebecca Long-Bailey seems to have discovered the World Jewish Conspiracy. Or had she been informed about it already by Jeremy Corbyn, that great political theorist of international repute? How interesting: the police forces of the USA have been sending their recruits to Tel Aviv to learn about choke holds in all their variety. I see. And there is no instiutional anti-Semtism in the Labour Party to deal with. Of course … Well, it would seem that Keir Starmer, unlike his predecessor and also unlike Boris Johnson, can actually be trusted to do what he says he will do and act decisively. He has fired Ms Long-Bailey from the front bench. He seems to know anti-Semitism when he sees it. Meantime, however, the Department of Justice in the USA is effectively introducing the Divine Right of Presidents into the mix.

Ah, what a lovely world we do live in. 

I propose, therefore, that instead of Fred and Ginger movies the BBC iPlayer should have a season of classic Frank Capra films. He deals with the impact on life of the wicked and the greedy, but they are always secondary characters motivating the actions of the good people, and the good people always win in the end. And sometimes the bad people even reform! Barbara Stanwyck, Gary Cooper, James Stewart, Jean Arthur – those characters you played, where are they now?


Tuesday, 16 June 2020

FISSION & FUSION ENERGY




The quest to generate limitless clean energy from atomic-fusion, such as the Sun produces, has spanned at least fifty-years. The Sun, our star, warms the solar system by fusing two hydrogen atoms to make one helium atom; in the process surplus energy is shed, which radiates and brings life-energy to Earth, and maybe life to our neighbouring planets. To date, despite huge budgets and hundreds of brave attempts, science has not managed to get more energy out of fusion experiments than it puts in. 

Basically, the aim is to create and control a plasma - hot, pure energy - by firing lasers at elements, or by other processes, that force atoms together. This "forcing" uses a lot of energy. The sun-like plasma is very, very hot. It can only be contained in a magnetic-bottle. Making such "bottles" to contain the heat of the sun requires a lot of energy and precise control. So far, plasma has been manufactured that lasts just parts of a second, requiring more energy input than the output. When, or if, fusion is achieved in our laboratories, harvesting useful heat from the plasma, to drive turbines, is another major technical hurdle. 

Why bother - when we have fully mastered atomic-fission? Atomic energy reactors have been contributing electric power since the Atom-Bomb and H-Bomb were invented. The major difference between fission and fusion is that fission explodes the energy locked into atoms and sub-atomic particles - while fusion builds new atoms and sub-atomic particles. The human race has not yet managed to fuse the bases of mass or matter together, moulding elements or parts of elements from "pure-energy". Pure energy pervades the whole universe as fields - that I prefer to envisage as oceans. Fields are flat and two dimensional - Oceans are deep and three dimensional. 

Either way - we don't know how to compress or precipitate objects /mass/ material /stuff from plasma. Creation of fundamental particles is still a mystery. 

We bother? - Because fission is a dirty, dangerous, poisonous process that releases lethal or wounding and disruptive radiation of wavicles/particles with half-lives of hundreds, sometimes thousands of years. It is said that fusion produces no such harmful debris. 

To assist the human-race to harness atomic fusion, I suggest we rethink gravity. The most plentiful element in the universe is hydrogen. Wherever we look in the cosmos, we see immense wispy clouds of hydrogen. They drift together, they make oceans, the oceans get deeper and deeper. They coalesce. In the depths of the cloud-oceans stars form. The stars form galaxies, of billions of stars. Each star is a sun, radiating immense energies (light) from atomic-fusion. This act of galaxy creation is caused mainly by gravity. 

With the risk of being repetitive, I speculate that the outer-force of gravity is the universal ocean of radiation that is 43.7 b.l.y. deep (to the horizon of the observable universe). It is now known that light and electromagnetic energy are not mass-less. Light exerts pressure. I guess this almost infinite ocean presses almost eternally on every-thing, including the hydrogen clouds - which coalesce.  

Professor Casimir demonstrated that between masses that become matter, some wavelengths of  radiation, the universal radiation, cannot manifest. The radiation between masses is less than the outside radiation. Between masses is a shadow of exclusion. As mass piles upon mass, the more shells of matter are formed, the deeper the Casimir Shadow (I think) becomes. This inner partial vacuum is the pull of gravity. At its most extreme the inner vacuum becomes a black-hole. Black Holes do recycle their trapped energy. 

It takes these two forces - Outer and Inner - to power fusion in stars. Our fusion-energy researchers might collaborate with physicists who want to make black-holes (vacuums), compressed by 43.7 b.l.y of radiation (pressure) - to create useful fusion-plasma. Then all they have to do is find a way to contain and direct it. 

It is just a thought. But it is a new thought. Fusionable material perhaps? 

Monday, 15 June 2020

TTINT The Transport Internet & Foodtubes.


THE TRANSPORT INTERNET - FOODTUBES

Runner up in the 2008 St. Andrews Prize for the Environment.  -  Member of ISUFT.


FOODTUBES™ – Goods In & Waste Out – Low Cost , Low Pollution Transport.

Cargoes can be packed into inexpensive, lightweight cargo-capsules, approx. 1 metre x 2 metres (about the size of a large man) or 1.57 cu metres, each carrying up to 2 tonnes of freight, propelled through underground, undersea and over-ground pipelines by electricity.  Wire “Cages” of about this size are loaded into supermarket vehicles, carrying goods between their warehouses and retail shops.



The Capsules will be precisely controlled by software – to travel through numerous interlinked, open-architecture Foodtubes Circuits, each of about 100 km; eventually forming The Transport Internet ™. 

In cities, dense-urban & urban areas, Foodtubes Circuits will be installed using No-Dig technology; reducing surface disruption. Pipeline-Circuits infrastructure will last for 50 to 100 years.

Foodtubes Commercial Models show 70% profits; charging less than equivalent lorries and trains. http://www.noelhodson.com/index_files/ftubesfinancials_28Sep07_v15.xls

Foodtubes has calculated that today 92% of the fuel or energy used to transport freight is wasted on moving the vehicles. Only 8% is used to move the goods or cargoes.

Water, oil and gas are transported efficiently through pipelines. There are more than 300,000 km of large diameter pipelines in Europe, including undersea pipelines; operating continuously, day and night, transporting huge vital cargos, unseen and unheard by most citizens.

Many cargoes could be transferred into Foodtubes, saving 90% of the diesel used today and reducing man-made CO2 and other pollutants by 8% to 16%, annually saving billions of litres of diesel.

After water, food is the largest vital daily cargo. The food transport industry now utilises 25% to 30% of all freight vehicles. Foodtubes will transport goods from farm to supermarket, including recycling food & waste.

Carrying food, and other suitable cargos. FOODTUBES Circuits are capable of removing 50% of all the commercial transport vehicles from city streets, main roads and railways – and replacing a significant proportion of sea and air freight transport.

If it wins this EC Grant Application (Apr 2011), Foodtubes plans a Demonstration Circuit for city transport managers to consider installing Foodtubes. http://www.noelhodson.com/Ftubes/12APR11-FOODTUBES-EC-e7M.pdf

CONTACT Noel Hodson, noel@noelhodson.com, 07713 681216 - Oxford UK

Friday, 12 June 2020

MODERN SLAVERY - STATUES - BLACK LIVES MATTER


India - Many females are enslaved in modern India.

BLACK LIVES MATTER : Protesters have very good cause to take to the streets against USA police violence and arbitrary public killings of arrested "suspects", which is a stain on any and all civilised nations. The Ku-Klux-Klan and similar vile fascist organisations were thought to be disbanded. Apparently not.

I strongly believe, as Isaac Asimov wrote, that "violence is the last resort of the incompetent". It should never be  a sociopolitical action. It reduces us and all citizens to beasts.

BUT, when governments  deliberately and arrogantly ignore mass demonstrations and marches, they provoke the escalation of peaceful, thoughtful citizens into angry crowds - and invite and incite violent mob reactions.

I cite just two such mass protests in the UK: One-Million people marched through London protesting against Tony Blair's 2003 Iraq War. He ignored them and  sent in troops to kill tens of thousands of innocent middle-east civilians; men, women and children. That was horrible State violence.

In 2018 One-million citizens marched through London protesting against Brexit. Six Million signed a Stop Brexit petition. Sixty-percent of voters voiced their anger. Boris Johnson and Dominic Cummings ignored them all. As Brexit departure looms, 31st December 2020, and 7 million jobs are threatened as the UK sabotages half of its exports by spurning and insulting the EU - there is likely to be violent, desperate protest. Dominic Cummings welcomes such disruptive chaos. Who is the most violent - the Tory Brexiters or the silenced, ignored marchers who may well smash windows and surround Westminster? 

However, hi-jacking Black Lives Matter as a protest against historic slavery is a sly, daft and ill-advised piece of theatre. Tearing down statues and re-writing history in The 1984 Ministry of Truth is plain silly. The real history, part shameful, is recorded; protesters can publish it and make films etc.

Most African tribes practised slavery, some still do. The Israelites were Egyptian slaves - then in turn they owned slaves. The Old Testament is full of slave stories. Britons were Roman slaves. Chinese were Japan's slaves. Arabs conducted the North African slave trade for hundreds of years. It was ubiquitous world wide. To now, in 2020, ascribe slavery to Old White European Men is disingenuous - and futile. Name ten African leaders who used cruelly treated forced labour. Throughout history and herstory - millions of peaceful families were enslaved. 

Today, if the anti-slavery activists truly want to eradicate slavery - then forget the past millions and concentrate on the modern billions - about 1.5 billion - cruelly treated, deprived of rights, forced into labour, denied human rights and regularly beaten and raped - females. Turn your righteous anger against the religions, politics, economic forces, socio-cultural customs that abuse females. In many parts of the "civilised" world - women and girls are the most discriminated against populations. 

Thousands of millions - billions - are daily abused. Often the LAW protects the largely male abusers. I cite below a few well known regions that are notorious for terrible crimes against females. But you can supply hundreds more examples:  

Forget Nelson, Baden Powell, serial wife-killer, syphilitic, obese Henry VIII, forget dead plantation owners and the rest. Get out and arrest the contemporary villains and sexual abusers. Some of our great modern leaders are the worst offenders. Tear them down - and LOCK THEM UP. 

INDIA - 128,000 rapes per year.


"Yet while the horrific crime has prompted hundreds to take to the streets, and calls for lynching and hanging in parliament, it was far from an isolated incident. According to statistics, a woman is raped in India every 20 minutes.
India is the most dangerous place to be a woman, according to a survey by the Thomson Reuters Foundation last year, and the stark reality of this was brought to the fore this week. As well as the Hyderabad case, there was the abduction, gang rape and murder of a young lawyer in Jharkhand; the rape and murder of a 55-year-old cloth seller in Delhi’s Gulabi Bagh neighbourhood; and a teenager in the state of Bihar was gang raped and killed, before her body was set on fire on Tuesday."
AFRICA & USA
The ten countries with the highest rates of rape (number of incidents per 100,000 citizens) are:
  1. South Africa (132.4)
  2. Botswana (92.9)
  3. Lesotho (82.7)
  4. Swaziland (77.5)
  5. Bermuda (67.3)
  6. Sweden (63.5)
  7. Suriname (45.2)
  8. Costa Rica (36.7)
  9. Nicaragua (31.6)
  10. Grenada (30.6)
South Africa has the highest rate of rape in the world of 132.4 incidents per 100,000 people. According to a survey conducted by the South African Medical Research Council, approximately one in four men surveyed admitted to committing rape. Although the Parliament of South Africa enacted the Criminal Law (Sexual Offences and Related Matters) Amendment Act in 2007 attempting to amend and strengthen all laws dealing with sexual violence, the rates of reported rape, sexual abuse of children and domestic violence have continued to rise.
The United States has a rape rate of 27.3. As in many other countries, rape is grossly underreported in the United States due to victim shaming, fear of reprisal, fear of family knowing, cases not being taken seriously by law enforcement, and possible lack of prosecution for the perpetrator. Only 9% of rapists in the US get prosecuted and only 3% of rapists will spend a day in prison. 97% of rapists in the United States will walk free.
Focus your righteous anger in 2020. Protect your women folk from crudely "being grabbed by the pussy"; and far, far, far worse. These are truly enslaved world citizens. 

RESURRECT THE HIGH STREETS - Millions of new homes



Even before COVID-19, UK High Streets were in distress.


Directors: Ayes Amewudah, Marcus Hickman, Noel Hodson, Richard Nissen
Piltdown Lodge, Piltdown, East Sussex, TN22 3XJ
Cell phone: 07957 622545 E-mail: ayes@amuda.co.uk

May 2020

RESURRECT OUR HIGH-STREETS - DISCUSSION PAPER


The current situation:

COVID-19: May 2020. The decline in people travelling to work and for family or leisure reasons is not yet calculated but common experience and business statistics indicate that passenger traffic this month is 80% less that before Covid-19 took hold.
The reports of traffic reducing to 1955 levels indicate a fall from 32 million licenced cars travelling 7,500 miles per annum to about to 4.5 million cars. Similar reductions have occurred on buses and trains. People are staying at home – and where possible are working at and from home. (WFH)

From our own statistics of workers who stay at home and use IT to communicate, prior to the Covid-19 Lockdown about 4 million worked in this way at home “on any one workday”. Approximately 12.5% of the workforce. Add to that the 80% of new WFH (work-from-home) workers, and it totals 28.5 million in voluntary or imposed lockdown. Only 4 to 5 million continue to commute daily.

Many business leaders have commented publicly on the positive benefits that they have seen, first-hand, as a result of their employees having to work from home during this lockdown. In particular, the well documented productivity gains which can be achieved from flexible working.

Employees have been able to effectively demonstrate to their managers that they can effectively manage the additional conflicts, which can arise when working at home, and deliver on time.

The current lockdown has also placed a further strain on the following two challenges which government, local authorities, town planners and property developers are trying to address:

1.     Provide more affordable homes inside and outside of cities.
2.     Restore High Street shopping and office work.

We see opportunities to collate and analyse the positives from the current lockdown and use them to rapidly rethink new ways to address these.

 The opportunity

As lockdown lifts, over the coming weeks, employers will have to meet the additional cost of implementing new government guidelines to minimise the spread of COVID 19 in the workplace. For example: It is likely we will see the implementation of one-way stairways, deployment of automatic hand sanitising dispensers and flexible working hours and staff rotation. These costs could be minimised with the implementation of better facilities for employees to live and work locally in a more flexible way or live closer to the office.

The average space occupied by a worker is 250 sq. feet. (23.2 sq. metres.) Multiply by 28.5 million WFH workers = 7,125,000,000 sq. feet or 7.1 Bn sq. ft  (662 million sq. metres). Average family homes plus a telework office are about 1,200 sq. ft; so, the recently emptied space is equivalent to 6 million home units. This space is already built – requiring conversion to create homes+offices.

Empty retail property could be converted into homes (with a home office) and into Telework hubs, which would have all the additional facilities that employees need to work efficiently away from their main offices. For example, they should have telephone integration and reception facilities, meeting rooms, workstations, state of the art video conferencing suits, postal and courier services mass printing, photocopying and IT support services. The work-space in these hubs could be rented by businesses on a per hour, per week or per year basis. Employees could live locally and work flexibly between their home, local high street hub, or any other high street hub and their main central office.

Some of the benefits for central government and local authorities:

1.     High streets would be rejuvenated, as a result of the additional homes and the telework hubs – enabling increases in spending locally.
2.  Increased local jobs (building and maintaining homes – plus eateries) and a greater sense of community.
3.   More homes could be provided rapidly in town centres, through the conversion, using less green belt land.
4.     Cleaner air in the towns and cities – promoting better health.
5.     Less commuting and congestion -

Our goal
The International Flexible Working Association aims to provide government and local authorities with well-researched proposals that will enable developers to convert local empty business units into family homes – with telework offices and telework hubs in High Streets. This will provide millions of new homes, revive High Streets day and night with families, support the businesses that remain – and, of equal importance, greatly reduce commuting and business-travel – and preserving the clean and quiet environment we are all now aware of, due to the Covid-19 Lockdown.

What we are seeking
The founder members of The International Flexible Working Association will apply for government grants to make a public study, to create partnerships with builders, architects, planners and finance houses, and to put the economic facts to mortgage companies for the provision of family finance to buy the converted homes. We have development companies standing by to deliver action-this-day.

Our credentials
The International Flexible Working Association’s founder members:

Richard Nissen invented the concept of the Virtual Office in the 1990s, set up a consultancy and has lectured on how to implement working from home and flexible working.  Advances in technology have  made this much easier.  However, the importance of the human dimension covering how employees feel and how to manage remote workers to promote productivity is paramount.

Noel Hodson – Telework Consultant. –  Noel is one of the pioneers who promoted working at home using advanced telecoms, since 1987. He wrote The Economics of Telework (Costs & Benefits) BT 1990, and Teleworking Explained 1992. Noel built and managed a profitable teleworked organisation of 38 home-offices and sixty people 1980-1990. He carried out many studies of telework-productivity and co-led a 40-experts EC project, The European Charter for Telework. He has conducted workshops across Europe and in America and written Telework Guidelines and Contracts for major employers including BT, WHO, TfL, and Eversheds.

Marcus Hickman specialises in consumer and employee research, analysis and strategy. Prior to founding Davies Hickman Partners in 2007 Marcus was MD of The Henley Centre (now Kantar Futures), one of the UK's leading strategic consultancies, and part of WPP. He has completed many research and consultancy projects about the intersection of technology with home, flexible and mobile working including the use of UC, UCAAS, mobile apps and cloud technologies.

Ayes Amewudah - IT Partner at Rathbone Results - Business Consultancy. Has successfully developed and implemented strategies which have turned around the fortunes of Corporates and large SME businesses in the technology and communications sector. Previously General Manager for BT, he developed and launched their first portfolio of products and services to enable businesses to successfully base their employees at home on a full or part-time basis.

Data used to compile this initial discussion document:
#Pre-Covid: ONS : Of the 32.6 million in employment, around 1.7 million people reported working mainly from home, with around 4.0 million working from home in the week prior to being interviewed for the survey.

#UK road travel falls to 1955 levels as Covid-19 lockdown takes hold


#About 24,000 commercial properties in London that could be turned into temporary housing or workspaces are lying empty, a report has found.
#Workers eye a permanent flight from the office

Appendix – For further qualification and or quantification as part of the study

Obvious benefits of lock down

CLEAN AIR – Bringing major health savings.
QUIET STREETS – Bringing major health savings
FEW if any ROAD ACCIDENTS – Bringing major health benefits.
REWILDING – Eco-benefits are widely reported.
PRODUCTIVITY – All sensible studies from 1992 to date show 10% to 50% increases.
BETTER WORK-LIFE BALANCE –  50% want to continue WFH.
MASSIVE SAVINGS OF FUEL AND VEHICLE IMPORTS.
NEW HOMES – About 3 million new-homes if 50% remain WFH.
VIGOROUS HIGH STREET ECONOMIES – Due to family residents.
LOW COMMUTING – Most work at home.

How to keep the benefits

CONVERT THE EMPTY SPACE This work will employ millions of UK residents.
CHANGE BUSINESS RATES TO DOMESTIC RATES. Business rate are failing fast.
MORTGAGES FOR THE NEW UNITS. Occupied by productive workers.
TREAT THE CONVERTED AREAS AS TELEVILLGES. Pleasant family areas.
INVITE TOP ARCHITECTS & DEVELOPERS. E.g. Docklands developments.
RESTORE BANK BRANCHES and POST OFFICES – Village scale
LATEST BROADBAND – Empower and fund BT. Ensure global reach.
EDUCATE ALL THE WORKERS IN I.T. Empower the Open University.

CONCLUSION:
The benefits of clean-air and quiet-streets will be maintained. High Streets will be useful day and night, seven days a week. The blight of deserted town and city centres after 6pm and massive commuting crowds, will vanish. The new WFH residents will create and support local facilities and local commerce.


UPDATE 12th June 2020 IS IT TOO LATE?

COVID-19 USA Banking collapse predicted by The Atlantic magazine:


Tony – Banking crash – as analysed in The Atlantic. I’m mindful that you early predicted Covid-19 – so, I read the whole CLO article. Oooo’er – dangerous stuff.

“Some members of Congress will question whether the Federal Reserve has the authority to buy risky investments to prop up the financial sector, as it did in 2008. (Dodd-Frank limited the Fed’s ability to target specific companies, and precluded loans to failing or insolvent institutions.) Government officials will hold frantic meetings, but to no avail. The faltering bank will fail, with others lined up behind it.
And then, sometime in the next year, we will all stare into the financial abyss. At that point, we will be well beyond the scope of the previous recession, and we will have either exhausted the remedies that spared the system last time or found that they won’t work this time around. What then?”
Bank liquidity is so complicated, I can’t take a view. It needs a big team of very skilled insiders to do the bookkeeping.

But, some major factors (1) I think ultimately it is a political decision to prop up the system – by printing money. As Obama did in 2009. Or – to crash the system. Where does Trump stand on that conundrum? (2) Big USA multinationals hold trillions legally offshore – taxable if/when repatriated  (3) Illegal cash offshore (tax unpaid)  is estimated to be circa $40 trillion +. NB – The article cites $billions of CLO debts owed by banks to Cayman companies – these are actually US assets if the Gov, chooses to claim them. It is this massive offshore river of cash seeking safe investment that has brought global interest rates to near negative levels.

(4) An odd effect of Covid-19 is that consumers have stopped spending – paid off their loans – and have bank savings e.g. The average saved from non-commuting is about $10K per annum. Car sales have frozen – and so have new car-lease borrowings. Bad for GM & Big-Oil; Good for households. Households have been sustained by soft-loans – furloughed salaries etc. - as here in the UK. For now, households are cash well-off. Money has moved from businesses to citizens – but it is still in the system. Like a blood transfusion it might be made to flow again. I think Covid-19 is a short term paralyses. “Old” business models will fail – new ones are springing up rapidly. The Internet users will not wait. These newly rich consumers might be persuaded to spend/invest rapidly. Or, its back to the 1930s.

In short – I guess Wall Street will only collapse if the US Gov wants it to.

An added threat to the conservative Brits as Covid-19 lifts – Is Brexit. All analysts globally, except UK True Brexit Believers, forecast 15% Sterling devaluation and 8% loss of GDP (7 million lost jobs). That could freeze the UK for decades. My brokers are looking ahead to try to pick out the Brexit-Bonanza shares; which UK industries and companies will boom after 31st December 2020 after a No-Deal. My old colleagues are proposing RESURRECT THE HIGH STREETS as a simple, rapid boost for the UK economy. But will Local Authorities see sense – or gum up the planning – commercial to homes – in a failed attempt to gouge out Business Rates? History says they will gum it up.

You were right to forecast Covid-19. I hope you are wrong about another bank meltdown.

Interesting stuff – Thanks


Noel