Wednesday, 19 March 2014

GRAVITY WAVES - WHAT'S THE FUSS?

BIG-BANG AND INFLATION MADE TODAY'S UNIVERSE
Scientist Sean Carroll, has written a professionally well received summation of the possible and alleged discovery of gravitational waves at the moment of the Big-Bang. His article (link below) acts as a transformer between the utterly incomprehensible mathematics and logic of pre-particle physics - and non-scientific observers such as me. I very much hope to here further simplify and transform his article down into language that more people, and I, can better understand. 

Here is a try at saying it in a few words: "Supporting the INFLATION theory that the early universe expanded from a dot to immensity in a nanosecond - BICEP2 scientists find ancient light 13.75 billion years old, distinctively polarized into a "swirly pattern" by the first ever gravity-waves; waves that alter the detector's length by 1 in 10,000,000,000,000,000,000,000 (LIGO)." 

* BICEP2 - The Background Imaging of Cosmic Extragalactic Polarization 2.

Let us not forget The Infamous Higgs Boson, discovered last year by the Large Hadron Collider. I have not read any comprehensible claim by Professor Higgs or other experts that The Higgs Field is the primary and first mechanism that converted or converts "pure" energy into matter - spins straw into gold. But, all the journalistic metaphors indicate that that is precisely what it does - so somebody is selling that message. They say The Higgs "confers mass" onto sub-atomic particles "like an an ant wading through thick custard" etc. What "they" are trying to not say is that at the very beginning of space-time, at the Big-Bang in the above picture, The Higgs Boson or something like it, acted as a catalyst before disintegrating into photons (light), to give birth to the first particles of matter - possibly Quarks (rhymes with Corks) - by somehow compressing energy. If this did happen, it would have been at the time of "Inflation", trillionths of seconds after the birth of the universe. If this extrapolation and interpretation is entirely wrong; Professor Higgs or CERN will undoubtedly say so. My EIG theory incorporates the idea that as energy was and is compressed into matter (E=MC2) the cohering, probably sentient, energy field forces "let go" allowing inflation; via what science calls Dark Energy. 

To have any chance of incorporating the scientific information and encompassing it logically, needs a framework, a universal theory, however flawed, to hang it all on. My theory, my T.O.E. is called Expansion is Gravity - EIG, which is extremely simple, written in a thousand words on 23 slides, and is undoubtedly deeply flawed. But it provides me with a reference point for trying to comprehend this week's news and fit it into common understanding. It might help other non-scientists, who use words not mathematics, to comprehend the major questions. (NB - Inertia).

WHAT IS REAL - WHAT DO WE ACTUALLY OBSERVE? Current knowledge of The (observable/ see-able) Universe is mainly based on just two proven and fully accepted scientific astronomical observations of light waves (the electromagnetic spectrum): 

Firstly Hubble Red Shift Expansion - American astronomer Edwin Hubble (1889 - 1953) noted that most galaxies are moving apart, by measuring the "red-shift" of the light (the red part of the rainbow from distant objects, propagates differently from the blue part of the spectrum). It is from the rate of Hubble Expansion that the Age of the Universe is calculated as about 13.798 billion years. 

And secondly, we observed The Cosmic Microwave Background (CMB) when in 1964/65 astronomers, Arno Penzias & Robert Wilson at Bell Labs in New Jersey realized after thorough cleaning that interference in the signals from space was not pigeon crap on the radar dish, nor traffic on the nearby motorway, but was the "snow" displayed by all cathode-ray analogue (not digital *) TV screens that are not tuned to a man-made broadcast frequency. The snow-signal turned out to be everywhere in the observable universe (including the space surrounding you as you read this - and in the remotest empty spaces we can "see") and was found to be the signal from a background temperature of a freezing 3 degrees Kelvin (minus 270 degrees centigrade /Celsius); at zero degrees Kelvin everything stops, frozen to death, except tiny "quantum" jiggling inside atoms. (* "digital" or "binary" signals are real "analogue" radio signals re-organised by computers as dot-dash Morse Code or 0s and 1s packaged in Bytes, transmitted from e.g. a TV studio to your TV set computer-chip which reads the Code. It is this reading that causes the pause in long-distance digital TV interviews.) 


WHAT DO WE EXTRAPOLATE FROM HUBBLE-EXPANSION AND CMB? Because this Cosmic Microwave Background  is the same in every direction and distance, science logically demonstrates that the light, this minuscule 3 degrees of heat above absolute zero, (all heat is light and vice-versa. All light is radio signals) was created (cause and effect) at the Big-Bang, the propagation (light does not speed it propagates) and expansion of which (Hubble Expansion) spread the CMB microwaves everywhere evenly - hence "background". The Big-Bang, the alleged moment of creation from a "White-Hole" is assumed, by relying on Hubble-Expansion measurements, and on Newton's and Einstein's measurements of Gravity (and from millions of other brilliant scientific discoveries), to tell us how far away is the edge of our observable-universe.  Then by mathematically winding universal observed expansion backwards in time - the mathematicians compress the expanding universe back into its original box - where it disappears. Strangely, for the sake of balance and tidiness, science assumes that everything came from nothing - "In the beginning was darkness and the void". 

WHAT DON'T WE KNOW - AND WHY "OBSERVABLE UNIVERSE"? We do not know what gravity is. Einstein and others predicted that "gravity waves" will be detected by looking on very, very large scales across the universe - but nobody knows what a gravity wave is. We talk of the observable universe because, so far, no center or any hint of the direction or location of a center has been found - the distribution of matter (galaxies, hydrogen clouds etc) and radio signals in the universe are almost the same in every direction. Taking Earth as the precise center, we can see with astronomical telescopes to a horizon - about 13.75 billion light years away (to get the distance in kilometers, multiply seconds in a year by 13.75 billion by "the speed of light "C", the assumption being that light always has, does and always will travel at the currently observed and measured rate of propagation of about 300,000 km per second). But science has had to cheat and vary the sacrosanct "speed of light" to fit the mathematics of the assumed Big-Bang with observations of CMB and the even spread of universal matter. They do this by inserting "Inflation" in the first seconds of The Big Bang, which assumes the universe expanded faster than the speed of light from a pin-prick of infinitely dense hot energy (scalding light) to an enormous size in the blink of an eye. So, due to inflation, the horizon of what we can "see" - the observable universe - is thought to be 47.5 billion light years distant - instead of the age of the universe (if light always propagates at 300,000 km per second) of 13.75 billion (slow) light years distant.  "Inflation" allegedly gave us a horizon 3.5 times more distant than the current speed of light could have given us. Science thinks that the universe might be infinite but we humans like to define and confine subjects of study - so we study only that which we can detect; in this case the immense Observable Universe. 


...AND GOD SAID "LET THERE BE LIGHT"
WHAT IS THE CURRENT GRAVITY WAVES FUSS ALL ABOUT?
"A team of astronomers led by John M. Kovac of the Harvard-Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics detected ripples in the fabric of space-time — so-called gravitational waves" The kernel of the conundrum being investigated, as reported in March 2014,  is the physical history of the entire universe. 


Science based on observations, interpretations of the observations and mathematical modelling of the interpretations, currently theorizes that God (God is the bit we don't have any theory for), in the dimensionless void of no-where and no-thing before space-time existed (stood out), did his-her-or-its miracle with the creative finger and triggered a speck of energy, even smaller than the smallest thing that Max Planck 1858-1947 figured out could exist (Planck minimum Length is 0.00000000000000000000000000000000001 meters - Max Planck discovered "quantum leaps" or energy changing not smoothly as expected but in measurable steps or jumps, by experimenting with the heat (light) from his iron cooking stove - see Black Body Radiation) a speck that contained the potential for the entire universe and all events, such as you and me, that would follow. Some scientists refer to the primordial speck as a "white hole" - a place without dimensions that produced (may still be producing) infinite energy and density; containing all of space-time for all of existence. 

WHY IS THE TELESCOPE AT THE SOUTH POLE? The astronomers and cosmologists are searching for gravity waves, which cannot be seen directly. Instead they look for peculiar patterns of light, affected by gravity waves. These patterns are of very particular polarized light - the same sort of polarizing used by sunglasses to shield eyes from glare - polarized by passing through gravity waves. The light, which like all light is of the electromagnetic spectrum and thus detectable like radio waves, is allegedly from the very first trillionth, trillionth, trillionth of a second after the Big-Bang. The entire universe was then very small so the first light waves and gravity waves were in every part of the universe, which then expanded, spreading the wave signals to every part of the universe. Thus, the strange ancient light that is being looked for is everywhere, as is the Cosmic Microwave Background (CMB) light, described above. What the scientists seek is here, all around us and in all parts of the universe. But these 13.75 billion years old signals are faint and obscured by all the events between then and now. Siting the telescope at the South Pole and focusing it at the emptiest possible space helps to eliminate interference from all the other universal phenomena. The scientists have sifted years of data; hope to have eliminated all other phenomena; and claim to have found polarized light patterns that are or were affected by gravity waves. Gravity waves are supposedly like light waves but more elusive - and they cannot be stopped by anything we know of. The faint polarized light patterns look as if they are part of spirals. Similar to and contained in the CMB light, these traces will have a signature temperature. The discovery is the ghost of a ghost of a ghost of a 13.75 billion year old ghost. 


SCIENTIFIC AMERICAN
Proof of gravitational waves created by cosmic inflation is shown here in this image of the cosmic microwave background radiation collected by the BICEP2 experiment at the South Pole. The proof comes in the form of a signature called B-mode polarization, a curling of the orientation, or polarization, of the light, denoted by the black lines on the image. The color indicates small temperature fluctuations in the cosmic microwave background that correspond to density fluctuations in the early universe.
BICEP2 Collaboration



WHY ARE GRAVITY WAVES SO IMPORTANT AND WHAT IS A T.O.E.? 
The universe is built with 4 fundamental forces (1) Strong nuclear force that compresses light into the nucleus of atoms and holds it tight - hence nuclear explosions of blinding light when we prise them open (2) Weak nuclear force that holds electrons in orbit or clouds around the nucleus - where we observe electrons doing "quantum leaps" (3) Electromagnetic force that binds or joins separate atoms into molecules and makes all chemical connectors (4) Gravity that pulls all matter and energy into clumps and makes stars, planets, alleged black-holes and us. Energy, or light, was observed to be subject to gravity as predicted and precisely calculated by Einstein when beams of distant starlight were bent as they passed by The Sun and were measured by Eddington during an eclipse in 1919. 

BUT, only the first three forces, which we largely understand and can manipulate to make our TVs and mobile phones operate, are integrated into The Standard Model of atoms and sub-atomic (smaller than atoms) particles. We do not understand how gravity works and we have so far failed to create A Theory of Everything (TOE) that will make a model of the 4 forces working together. It seems that Gravity - which we assume holds the universe together (Astrophysics & Cosmology) cannot yet be reconciled with the sub-atomic forces (Particle-physics). A Theory of Everything, the bridge between macro and micro events, is the Holy Grail for all scientists. Understanding gravity is a necessary cornerstone of any T.O.E. That is why science is so excited by the news released this month. 

Next article - 

Read this for a quantum leap forward in understanding the science:

Wednesday, 12 March 2014

WWW.INTERNET.MAGNA-CARTA.EARTH

SIR TIM BERNERS-LEE
THE INTERNET AND SIR TIM BERNERS-LEE - No self-respecting futurist could let today, the 25th anniversary of the birth of the internet, go by without comment and some risky crystal ball gazing. It is written that "to predict the future, first study the past" to which we should add "...and study the present". The Arpanet & Internet came first, dating back to the 1960's as a university network, adopted by  the US defense industry. Sir Tim Berners-Lee conceived the idea of making The Internet open to everyone and so launched the World Wide Web WWW. Now the terms are interchangeable - which is valid because nobody quite knows which system owes what to whom, where or when. 

PAST - As ever, I can crib the entire past of the WWW internet from The Guardian, possibly the best newspaper in the world (The Guardian was born in Manchester, as I was, and as was the Rochdale Cooperative Society - currently under attack by the secretive Legions of Obscene-Greed - $5M is not enough - "I speet on your $5 million dollars"). 

But what The Guardian summary omits is that Sir Tim Berners-Lee worked at the atom-smashing cyclotron at CERN, Switzerland (now the Large Hadron Collider, hunting The Higgs Boson) in the 1980's. I got my first desktop office PC in 1987. Most top scientists worked at CERN for just a few months or years - then returned to whence they came, taking all their hard thought new knowledge with them. Sir Tim lamented the loss, or deep burial, of such valuable ideas and he lobbied for all notes, papers and books by CERN experts to be archived and cross referenced or interlinked  on CERN computers - or what we now call hyperlinked. Amazingly this unique archiving was implemented. I know this story because in 1992 I traveled from Oxford to a (revolutionary) Telework Conference in Berlin; on the bus to Heathrow airport, an unassuming quiet man asked me where I was going and why - and then he made the link between his project and mine. He was Tim Berners-Lee, returning to CERN. 

By grafting the hyperlinked CERN and other vital civilian archives onto the pre-existing American defense industry Internet, which had been developed to globally route military communications, even in a nuclear war that might wipe out 90% of transmitters, via a fishing net type wired and wireless matrix (based in thousands of main-frame mostly IBM computers) of such complexity and alternative routes that the matrix would send and receive messages even if large holes were blown in the matrix (or web); and then by making the system available to the public as the World Wide Web (WWW) - Sir Tim enabled today's public Internet. He charged nothing for this incredible world changing innovation and he intended that access would be free to all, for all time. 

PRESENT - The Internet, still in its infancy, is now under sustained attack from every mad dictator, moral leader, outraged citizen, persistent civil-servant, self-flagellating puritan, spy, pompous politician, creative artist, avaricious business, deluded prophet, and all others who believe that they alone have the absolute right to ration access to information, deny free-speech, tell everyone what to do and monitor all communications of all the 7 billion citizens on the planet. Countless maniacs proclaim "I CAN RULE ICANN" - non-profit ICANN sets the global protocols for the Internet. To counter these sad, bad, mad lunatics and to keep the Internet open - like a road network that anyone can use - Sir Tim Berners-Lee today proposes an Internet Magna-Carta. (Magna Carta is an agreement made in 1215 between King John and his "Subjects", the people of England, to curb the King's divine rights to screw everyone else. It is the foundation of western democracy). 

THE INTERNET MORPHS INTO THE Q-FIELD
FUTURE - Sketching out the future of the Internet could be an endless task - a "how long is a piece of string?" question. How far ahead does a Futurist look; locally, regionally, nationally, globally? Which strands of technology do we follow and forecast? Will I be alive to celebrate my accurate predictions? Fortunately, I have already written the definitive book, AD 2516 - After Global Warming. You will not be surprised to see that it looks 500 years ahead; is a wonderfully amusing, unputdownable novel; and is soundly based on credible real science (I read New Scientist, Scientific American and dozens of science primers). You can read the first 30 pages on Amazon E-books, free of charge, and see how the Internet has morphed into the Q-Field - and you can treat yourself by downloading the entire book for 5 or 6 hours of pleasurable and compelling reading - at a risibly low affordable price. Click the cover in the right hand margin of this page - or the Internet hyperlink above. After the great floods, the Internet will survive as a global right of all citizens on our planet and across our solar system (I don't extrapolate, yet, into our galaxy).



Friday, 7 March 2014

MICROSOFT REDEEMED - SEPT 2015

STEVE BALMER - CEO MICROSOFT IN 2013
"Windows 8 is great - But I'm quitting"
16 Sept 2015 - Microsoft Windows 10 - is good!

Having moaned and groaned a year ago about Windows 8, giving away 2 new W-8 laptops, and hating all the accompanying Balmer forced changes to Office (see below), I can now say that Windows 10 has righted most of the wrongs that I, an Office user since 1987, have suffered at 72 years of age.

While I still cannot easily find vital keys on scrambled Office Menus for several basic routines in Word, Powerpoint and most aggravating, in Excel - routines I have used for 20+ years - I have been using Windows 10 for a few months - and can recommend it as an operating system. As one of our UK TV ads boasts - "It does what it says on the tin". 

I still wish that I could update my Office 2007 to a current version but overlaid with my familiar Office 2003 user interface; (vitally, OUTLOOK remains almost unchanged) but, Microsoft has redeemed itself and rebuilt its business customer relationships with the free issue of Windows 10. I am told Windows 10 will one day "sync" my desktop, laptop, tablet, phone etc - but  I haven't the faintest clue how how to do this synchronization. 

Come Home all is Forgiven: My I-Phone is very old and my I-Pad is a stone age version 5, stubbornly refusing any updates or new apps. With Windows 10 and with Office available on cell-phones - I might make the heroic intellectual leap to upgrade to a large screen Windows Phone. 

Or, I might just have another afternoon nap. 

Any Road Up ! - as we say in Lancashire, England dialect, you can install Windows 10 with an easy mind. It won't force you into 200 hours of re-learning everything you once knew. 

*************

8 Apr 2014. Microsoft Wars:  SMEs (small and medium sized enterprises), who are about 12% of the workforce, employ 60% of the world; government and big business employ 40% - but SMEs are hardly ever heard. In America, small businesses can hit back at bullying multinationals by ganging together in Class Actions; in UK law Class Actions are illegal, to deter collective strength and howling mobs - leaving tiny firms alone to sue major world players and risk all the costs and time - and probably bankruptcy. Thus it is that when, after 3 months of trying to adapt, I harangued my local computer-shop for selling us a Windows 8 and Office 2013 laptop, which we found unusable (after 27 years business experience of Microsoft & Office) - the geeks at the shop urged me to sue Microsoft for our time, costs and business disruption. The geeks dislike Windows 8 and Office 2013 as much as we do; but lack the nerve to complain to the Mighty Microsoft.

We are not alone in finding the Windows 8 user-interface (UI) unusable. The WEB is full of complaints. All my local computer shops are trying to sell pre-loaded Windows 8 PCs at half price - and seem to be failing. None of them have Windows 7. Trying to update via MSoft from XP to 7 leads to a rambling, self-defeating path of despair, which Msoft must find most amusing. "MIGRATE FROM XP - WINDOWS DOWNLOAD - SUPPORT STOPS 8th APRIL."

TAKE-THE-PLUNGE Business Expansion
Since 1970, my colleagues and I have advised about 5,000 SMEs and 40 or so major organisations, on Accounts - Business Forecasts - Tax and Finance - Telecommuting - all requiring EXCEL spreadsheets and WORD reports. My desktop PC has 42,000 files in My Documents, most of them confidential to private clients or projects.  I use OUTLOOK email to compose and send many complex professional letters. My dilemma is that Msoft are utterly determined to cut out Windows XP Professional (on my laptop)  and Office 2003 (on my laptop and desktop PCs). Some optimistic SMEs assume that MSoft will not explode the ultimate bomb on 8th April 2014 - but my research assures me that they will. I cannot use Windows 8 & Office 2013. Office 2003 is the last UI before the bewildering "Ribbons" were introduced for Office 2007 etc.

(The Ribbons show every conceivable option in WORD, EXCEL etc - all jumbled up; like an American breakfast menu, the Ribbons offer 100's of choices for each and every minor requirement - leaving the user to find a critical path through the maze; which the programmers should have taken the trouble to define. Its like driving fast to a complex road junction and having to read 500 options in 50 yards before choosing an exit. No responsibility for the programmers, maximum responsibility for the users. In Office 2013 my wife and I took half an hour to write a 50 word letter - after 27 years PC experience).

Windows 8 is aimed at kids who want to play games, watch films, listen to music and mess around on slippery sliding screens. MSoft now admit it was written for touch-screens not for keyboards; are all MSoft business customers retired? What about the 37 million SMEs in China, on XP? In the middle of serious routines, incomprehensible, wandering colored squares blank out the workspace, offering products, a huge clock and endless crappy "options". Users have to guess, on a blank screen, where icons they need are hidden. Microsoft are pressurizing users to back-up files only on The Microsoft Cloud - somewhere in Never-Never Land where the kiddies are playing; making it very difficult to simply save work files to a USB or DVD in  the machine. Convenient for the NSA - useless for business. Windows 8 is entirely unsuitable for business, in my experience.

My Office 2003 Updated programs have for the past year been showing glitches that Microsoft Support no longer fixes. The most obvious are in WORD which I use as my email editor. It has become very slow and will no longer shut down - causing OUTLOOK to hang 20 times a day. MSoft are subtly shaking users loose.

In analyzing my dilemma, I also became aware that Microsoft have opened a backdoor to the NSA and GCHQ spy agencies (bang goes clients' confidentiality) and note that Apple and Google also send all data to the government spies - who make it available to 100,000+ Edward Snowdens.

MY SOLUTIONS:

WINDOWS 8 - OR? After many months of consideration, using my very amateur Information Technology knowledge, I find there are only 3 operating systems for office computers:
WINDOWS - all versions since 1987.
APPLE - all version since about 1987 (twice the price of MSoft)
LINUX - freeware, in about 2 dozen versions of the central kernel, launched by Finnish, Linus Torvald, who was inspired by Polish, Nobel winner, chemist and physicist, Linus Pauling.

MY DELL DESKTOP - WINDOWS 7.
MY OLD TOSHIBA LAPTOP - LINUX - ZORIN OS 8 

(I had great difficulty - ten times - in booting my laptop with LINUX from a DVD. My mistake was failing to see a faint colored underline on the Toshiba start-screen (press F2 or F8 or F12 while switching on with the DVD in the drive) highlighting the hard-drive icon, which should have been under and selecting the DVD icon - then press ENTER.)

OFFICE 2003 ETC - OR? All my 42,000 files originated in Office 1997 or 2003, or earlier (few will now remember PCs running floppy-disks in 1987). I have to be able to read the files and attach them to email. There are 3 main alternatives.
MICROSOFT OFFICE
APPLE MAC SUITE - With Microsoft Office for AppleMac converters.
OPEN OFFICE - free software that looks like a clone of Office 2003.

MY DELL DESKTOP - free OPEN OFFICE (APACHE VERSION)
MY OLD TOSHIBA LAPTOP - free OPEN OFFICE AND THE free bundled ZORIN OFFICE SUITE

OUTLOOK EMAIL - OR? I have used OUTLOOK since 1987 (and recommended MSoft to dozens of major employers re-telework /telecommuting). Changing from OUTLOOK is my greatest fear, but I have recently tried Google Mail - and it seems to function well,  but lacks many, many of the OUTLOOK features. However, it works (in The wispy damned Cloud) and my tests have sent/received accurately.
If you download free Google G-Mail, it offers to import all addresses from your previous email system (on the same computer) - and does so with minimum fuss.

MY DELL DESKTOP - OUTLOOK UNTIL IT FAILS (shared with the NSA)
MY OLD TOSHIBA LAPTOP - GOOGLE G-MAIL (also shared with the NSA)

VIRUS CHECKERS /FIREWALLS? The only reliable firewall I have used in 27 years - and I have tried them all - is Microsoft Security Essentials (MSE); but MSE cannot now be downloaded to XP or XP Prof. MSoft have already slammed that door. My experience is that Microsoft is safe if MSE is working, but dies within a month if not, from the Blue Screen of Death. Safe options are:
WINDOWS - with MSE
APPLE-MAC
LINUX (all the many, exotically named, derivatives of the Linux Kernel)

MY DELL DESKTOP - STILL PROTECTED IN WINDOWS 7 BY free MICROSOFT SECURITY ESSENTIALS
MY OLD TOSHIBA LAPTOP - LIKE APPLES, LINUX DOES NOT NEED A FIREWALL

WE MADE TELEWORKING POSSIBLE
SEND $10 IF YOU ENJOY YOUR DAYS AT HOME
My wife's PC did lose protection from Microsoft Security Essentials, in September 2013. Within a week it was wrecked by the Blue Screen of Death - so we bought an ASUS PC with Windows 8 and Office 2013. After 3 months of aggravating struggle with  the new software - we gave the new machine away. She bought a S/H AppleMac from Amazon for £300. We added Microsoft Office For Apple, about £70 from Amazon, paid an expert about £150 to transfer emails and files and hand-hold; went through a steep learning curve - and still don't know how to list all the work files - but she loves it. The neat machine does everything required including having a very tidy, intuitive email system - (G-Mail take note).

Come back in a few months and see if my home-made system  has collapsed, plunging me into suicidal despair - and driving me to the Apple Store. In the meantime, prior to the Microsoft Armageddon - it all seems to be functioning - with very steep and exhausting learning curves. Anyone for a Class Action?

MICROSOFT - END OF DAYS  


**********************
CONVERSATION BETWEEN TWO MSOFT USER SMEs

6th March 2014 
Hi John

Thanks for your advice on XP etc. My reading of it is that MSoft are definitely pulling the plug on XP (on my old laptop) AND on Office 2003 (the base of all my Office apps on my Windows 7 (7 cannot do a "search") desktop). I took my laptop back to factory settings with XP-Professional and Office 2003. Despite dozens of attempts, it cannot download Microsoft Security Essentials or Windows Defender - they are blocked by MSoft. Last year MSoft pulled support for Pauline's old laptop and within the week it was destroyed by THE BLUE SCREEN OF DEATH (Google it). It is almost impossible to upgrade from XP to Windows 7 - via MSoft Updates and Downloads - and no shops sell Windows 7 - but is available S/H on the web.

On my main PC, WORD (2003) has been playing up for 6 months and MSoft support can't /won't correct it. Every attempt I have made to update officially via MSoft leads to Windows 8 and Office 2013. When Pauline's machine died we bought a new one with 8 and 13 - and used it for 3 or 4 months. Just like many IT managers in large offices report, our productivity dropped 50%+. The user interface is unusable. We tried patches and V2, V3 etc then gave the laptop away - and bought Pauline an Apple (which she now loves). There are 37 million business users in the Far East on XP and Office 2003. 

I cannot operate W8 and Office 13 which are designed by crazy kids for kids - not for business. My dilemma is that XP is definitely going on 8th April and Pauline's experience is that MSoft stop Windows Security Essentials and the machine is rapidly infected and killed. ALL the other famous virus checkers slow down PCs and after 2 years or so - bring them to a halt. I have tried them all in the past 27 years. My Apps in Office 2003 are having new glitches - and support for those stops on 8th April. I suspect Office 2003 will be killed within the year. All later versions have the "Ribbon" user interface which is unusable (for me).

Office 2003  Solution - I have downloaded free Open Office which has the 4 basic apps - WORD, CALC, PPT, etc but not OUTLOOK. Open Office has the 2003 user interface and so far I find it works very well. 

Windows 8 Solution - I have tried about 10 times to download LINUX operating system. Most experts say, on the web, that it is easy - but I have failed to use it to boot up my laptop and drop XP. I'll keep trying. 

I guess that the worry and complexity of making my own hotch potch office programmes for my 12,000 or so  business files and my email is so overwhelming - and is not what I do as a day job - that despite the steep learning curve and costs I'll follow Pauline down the Apple route and wave a sad farewell to Bill and friends at MSoft. I guess the 37 million far-east XP users will do the same. Somebody totally mad or immensely clever has pitched MSoft against its best customers. 

I'll let you know if I can get LINUX (free) working. It has excellent reviews.

Noel

*****************

4th March 2014 - 

Noel

The windows xp saga.

I have taken advice from the shop that built my present desktop machine on using windows xp past the date when MS stop supporting it and the answer is that as long as there is good quality security software there is no problem in continuing to use xp.

Some websites work better or only work on high versions of internet explorer whereas with xp it is not possible to run higher the IE8 but there are many other web browsers, like Firefox or Google Chrome.

Best

John

Wednesday, 26 February 2014

GANGSTER ECONOMICS - WHISTLING IN THE WIND?

CHANGE? - NO CHANCE
DAVID & GOLIATH
For those of us who want to improve and change the economic system for the future benefit of mankind, we find that resistance to change remains adamantine. Judging from my 30 years of professional observations and communications about economics and taxation, it seems that the 1% 'HAVES', many of whom enjoy large unearned incomes,  and who conceal their wealth in the world's 70 tax-havens, are as determined as ever to starve the 99% of the capital, currently frozen, that is needed to re-boot the global economy.

(Update 28 March 2014 - Hugely overpaid politicians and executives in the UK energy cartels, responsible for planning ahead, threaten power cuts if their monopoly and obscene-greed-rewards are challenged. Do we know where they all - all from 1990 to date - live? We need to visit them at home when the lights go out.)

 "They" are deeply embedded in our governments and legal systems, perverting policies and courts to suit their agenda. 

Writing letters and blogs has little discernible impact. Even campaigns by major media organisations are largely ignored - with perhaps an occasional  tiny sop of apparent change, signaled to us, the massed, ignorant, innumerate peasants. 

$32 trillion offshore buys a lot of friends in high and low places. They, the 1%, challenge the majority to take the battle for change to the wire; to risk the world; to bet the pot; to face the chaos of revolution - as is happening now in Egypt and Ukraine. It was ever thus.

But we need not descend into violence. Patience and dialogue will eventually work - and is a million times more preferable to storming the ornate palaces of corrupt leaders over the bodies of fallen comrades. Slowly, slowly there are tentative signs of re-emerging patches of anti-corruption and honesty in OECD governments. For example:-

Today -  from Reuters:

U.S. Senate panel blasts government lawyers on Swiss tax crackdown


WASHINGTON Feb 25 (Reuters) - The U.S. Justice Department is dragging its feet on prosecuting Swiss banks that helped Americans evade taxes and on collecting billions of dollars likely owed to the U.S. Treasury by tax dodgers, a powerful U.S. Senate panel said on Tuesday. 


27 FEB 2014 US senators want Credit Suisse to be forced to identify tax evaders

Senate committee calls on justice department to demand names of 22,000 US citizens who hid $12bn in Swiss bank accounts...

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And elsewhere, even in the UK, where all but a tiny rump of specialist tax-enforcers have been disbanded by the super-wealthy offshore governing elite, an occasional back-tax-case against big earners - usually in our "gangster-economies" exempt from tax, sneaks past the watchful guards who protect the super-rich from impertinent, unwanted intrusions by over zealous public servants. This tax case, of Chris Moyles +450 others, has miraculously found its way into the UK Courts. If, despite all our efforts, nothing has changed, the 450 tax evaders will be exonerated by bent Judges, the cunningly stupid tax-planners will receive an apology, costs and major compensation, and the impudent tax-collectors will be reprimanded and sacked. 

Are good honest citizens standing up to be counted? Let us wait and see: 

Chris Moyles claimed to be second-hand car dealer to avoid tax on £1 million

HM Revenue and Customs is writing to 450 other celebrities and wealthy individuals who took part in the same tax avoidance scheme to demand they pay the tax they owe... 

This now rare type of back-tax case brought by HMRC (note it is defined by the right-wing Telegraph as non-criminal  "avoidance" despite the obvious lies of being 'car dealers' on signed Tax Returns - putting it without question in  the criminal "evasion" class) involves recovering about £350 million in tax from 450 persons. It is a drop in the ocean of tax-evasion-capital-flight where major corporations evade billions and where the entire infamous 1%  (they actually are 0.5% of taxpayers) globally siphon $1 trillion per year to tax-havens - tax-free of course. But a drop can turn to a trickle and then a flood - if the embedded saboteurs can be neutralized and winkled out of our courts, treasuries and justice systems.  PRISON FOR NO-TAX VIPs? 

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And - thirdly, there are many knowledgeable agencies, now getting quite cross on behalf of the silent majority, who are pursuing fundamental reforms to (a) stop corruption and (b) stop tax evasion:-

This long running pan-European initiative by skilled tax-economy officers is resisted and diverted but is nevertheless making civilized progress against the entrenched gangster economies.

G20 Finance Ministers: crises brewing, but little action. The G20 ministers’ eye-catching (but detail-free) promise to raise global growth levels obscures the fact that little concrete progress has been made, with IMF reform mired in US inaction, no proposals for systemic reform such as debt workout mechanisms, and a reliance for implementation on international institutions such as the OECD that exclude developing country participation.

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And finally, I keep writing letters, which are not always totally ignored:-

    Letter to the Guardian - 26 FEB 2014.
Monetary policy committee member Ian McCafferty, joins the insistent, and persistent lobby to increase Base Rates (Bank hints at interest rates rise next spring – Guardian 26 Feb 14). Every quarter point rise (0.25%) siphons £3 billion per annum from poor borrowers to rich savers and banks, which causes unearned-income-inflation - which is far more damaging than earned-income-inflation. Higher base rates also attract super-rich foreign depositors to buy higher yield sterling, increasing its value, transferring the income (tax free) overseas and screwing our exporters. Thatcher gave such “Free Market” investors 17.5% of risk and effort free income in the 1980’s, paid for by mass unemployment, mass business bankruptcies and three crippling recessions. While the world’s tax-havens are awash with $21 trillion (OECD) to $32 trillion (Wall Street) of corrupt cash looking for safe-havens, the UK should not increase Base Rates.   

(Mr) Noel Hodson
    
    ***************    
    Letter to BBC Radio News. 25 FEB 2014.
    
   Will BBC News properly report the 450 tax evaders (about £350 million recoverable) which your employee/     hireling Chris Moyles was involved in? PRISON FOR NO-TAX VIPs?
    
    It is a most important precedent for reversing tax and benefit frauds. The £350 million recoverable is the tip       of an enormous £2 trillion iceberg of UK tax-evasion-capital-flight frozen in tax-havens – 8 million x ten             years of jobs.  All middle-class people can honestly claim “Some of my best friends (and leaders) are tax           evaders” and none of us want to see them in jail – but the UK does urgently need to get the money back. It        is a public duty for the BBC to report this as a main story.

    Noel Hodson - Oxford
     
    ***************
25 FEB 2014.  Letter to the Guardian

 Your leader, HSBC hands allowances to hundreds of bankers to avoid EU bonus cap (Guardian 25 Feb 14) triggers calls for a Robin Hood Tax on bank transactions, which in another context is a necessary and good initiative. But the simplest remedy to executive greed, in all sectors, is a 1950’s style, 98% super-tax on annual “rewards” above £150,000, (£12.5K /month) which requires no new legislation or powers. It can be applied immediately.  Very high taxes on very high incomes rapidly boosted Britain and brought full employment in the 1960’s, after the miserable post WW2 depression.

Tuesday, 25 February 2014

"CLI-FI" - FAITH OR SCIENCE?



From: Dan Bloom [mailto:danbloom@gmail.com]
Sent: 19 February 2014 11:09
To: Noel Hodson
Subject: Re: Thames Floods - Dutch Solutions

Journalist and visionary Dan Bloom sent this extract from an article in the New Yorker:

(Visit Dan's CLI FI CENTRAL: 'Cli-fi' - a new literary genre http://pcillu101.blogspot.com/ )


"O LORD - NOW WE BELIEVE IN GLOBAL WARMING"
BUT WE AIN'T GOIN' TO CHANGE ANYTHING!
EXTREME WEATHER STRIKES THE US - AGAIN.
...Americans’ beliefs about climate change fall along a broad spectrum, argues Anthony Leiserowitz, the director of Yale University’s Project on Climate Change Communication, who has been studying perceptions of global warming since the late nineteen-nineties. He groups people into six categories. At one end of the spectrum are the “alarmed,” who think that global warming is both urgent and caused by humans. At the other end are the “dismissive,” who don’t believe in the phenomenon or the risks it may pose. These two groups make up roughly twenty-two per cent of the population, according to Leiserowitz’s most recent survey data. They are “deeply committed to their views,” he told me, and that makes them much more likely to engage in what’s known as motivated reasoning: when an event conforms to their prior beliefs, they use it as a data point in support of their views; if an event doesn’t, they simply disregard it. In one of Leiserowitz’s studies, for instance, people dismissive of climate change denied that they had experienced a heat wave that had objectively occurred.

Members of the groups in the middle, however—the vast majority of people—are likely to adjust their views on global warming based on irrelevant, subjective factors like the current temperature. These are the “concerned,” who believe that global warming is a threat, but only in the long term; the “cautious,” who follow the debate but are generally uncertain; the “disengaged,” who know little about global warming, apart from its name; and the “doubtful,” who think that climate change is probably not happening and that, even if it is, that humans can do little about it. “The cautious and disengaged in particular,” Leiserowitz said, “are most likely to change their views based on their recent experience of the weather.” In a recent study, which tracked people’s views on global warming in the fall of 2008 and the spring of 2011, Leiserowitz and a colleague found that people who weren’t strongly engaged with the issue were significantly affected by their personal experiences of the weather, while people more invested in the topic retained their initial beliefs no matter what happened. In other words, they simply interpreted the weather in light of their prior assumptions.

A slight change in presentation, however, may shift attitudes in the direction of climate science and away from the vicissitudes of local weather. A study out this month, from the Cardiff University psychologists Stuart Capstick and Nicholas Pidgeon, found that periods of exceptionally cold weather in the United Kingdom had the opposite effect as they did in the United States: more people believed in the truth of climate change.

International Journalist and Commentator Dan Bloom is pioneering and promoting a new genre of futurist novels, Cli-Fi, to inform the public about the development and effects of Climate Change.




Friday, 21 February 2014

PRISON FOR NO-TAX VIPs?

"WHO IN GOVERNMENT USE TAX-HAVENS?"
A UK media figure, BBC disk jockey and TV presenter Chris Moyles earned $1 million a year taxable income. He is far too elevated to pay tax, as only little people pay taxes, so he fraudulently pretended that he was also a second-hand car dealer, sent himself tax-deductible invoices for $1.5 million car dealing "losses" in 2007/08 and paid no tax. 450 London "high earners" did the same - on the advice of NT Advisors (NT stands for No Tax) who convinced the VIPs the false accounting was legal ("complex" but legal). Moyles paid these cowboy tax-planners $120,000 for their advice. Presumably the other 450 clients did the same - making $54 million in fees. It is almost a certainty that NT Advisors tried to pay no tax on the $54 million. Now Moyles must pay the tax he evaded, plus interest, plus penalties, plus legal and accountancy fees; probably for just that one year, by 2014 totalling $1 million. Assuming the other 450 VIPs earned similar amounts - that's $450 million dollars - plus NT Advisor's tax and interest and penalties, say, $40 million, means the UK Treasury gets a much needed $490 million. UK tax collections are way below target in January 2014.

And, presumably, the 450 clients will sue NT Advisors, who in turn will claim the damage on their Professional Indemnity Insurance policies. Good old Lloyds of London will cough up. Maybe! Whether the clients and professionals will be imprisoned for False Accounting or Fraudulent Conspiracy, as happens in America I SAY AVOIDANCE - YOU SAY EVASION  remains to be seen. After all, Justice Must be Seen to be Done. We cannot have one law for the rich and another for the poor; particularly in tax-law. 

"They" are all at it. Given the scale of this one uncovered fraud of nearly half-a-billion dollars, for just one tax year, among 450 otherwise respectable pillars of the community; it is little wonder that even The Guardian shies away from publishing letters such as mine, below, that point out that no-one, including major companies, can send themselves invoices (usually from tax-havens) to reduce their UK taxable profits. It is time for a Tax-Truth-and-Reconciliation global task-force to unearth the few million souls who have defrauded their homelands of the $32 trillion hidden in tax-havens - and time to bring it home, invest it, and re-boot the world economy. Like blood in the body, money must circulate to keep communities healthy; it is no use frozen in false names by the paranoid, sociopathic super-rich in tax-havens.

Letter to the Guardian - 20 FEB 2014.

Many congratulations to The Guardian, The Midcounties Co-operative, Richard Murphy and the other experts “at the table” for designing and promoting the “Fair Tax Mark to reward tax justice” – Guardian 20th Feb 2014. Execution pivots on the vexed question of what is “the right amount of tax” for businesses to pay, in the regions where their sales and revenues actually occur. Honest auditors are highly paid to report correct sales figures, from which taxable profits can be (and internally are) accurately calculated. The real data for levying Fair Tax exists. However, the evasive businesses send internal invoices, usually retrospectively, from associated firms, to siphon the profits to tax-havens. These transactions (transfer-pricing; loan interest; management fees; royalties; dividends to wives in Monte-Carlo etc.) always have been and are illegal in tax law in all OECD regions – contrary to your bland statement “These companies aren’t breaking any laws – they are simply taking advantage of the complexity of the corporate tax system”. They are not complex; and they are criminal false accounting. Most tax experts work for or with auditors who since 1980 have signed false audit certificates and submitted false tax returns to reduce tax, as happened at Parmalat and ENRON, the latter case killing Arthur Andersen. In the 34 years 1980-2014, many top accountants and directors have become so habituated to creating false-invoices, increasingly unquestioningly approved by politically bullied local tax collectors, that the accountants convince themselves and their trainees that they are acting legally. They are not now and have not been legal. They were and are guilty of fraudulent conspiracy to evade tax.  Tax collectors still apply tough penalties on local people who send themselves “tax deductible” invoices. Try it yourself if you doubt me. We do not want to see hundreds of top executives jailed for fraud (who signed all the false Balance Sheets and Tax Returns?) but the UK must recover the estimated £2 trillion (8 million jobs for ten years) of tax-evasion-capital-flight gouged from our UK businesses over the past 30 years. It is vital to apply long established tax laws, as are applied to small businesses, to all UK trading since 1980, in order to claw-back past tax deductibility and to repatriate the massive illicit offshore funds, frozen in 70 or more tax-havens. As the Guardian revealed last year, there are 130,000 anonymous bank accounts in the British Virgin Islands (BVI) alone; just one of 70 criminal tax havens. Then, all nations will follow the UK lead, refill their public treasuries and re-boot the world’s economy. Latest estimates from Wall Street and the OECD are from $21 to $32 trillion hidden offshore – it all got there through false accounting. Fair Tax accounting will bring it home.

Noel Hodson, Oxford
Founder - McVeigh Hodson Blackstone Franks Accountants


Thursday, 20 February 2014

SEA LEVEL RISE OF 300 FT - 100 METRES

Letter to The Guardian  14. 02. 2014.



Mercifully, rainfall floods will recede but sea-level-rise floods will persist for millennia. The Guardian’s 14 Feb 2014 editorial “Hard rain, hard truths” cites sea-level-rise due to ocean warming and expansion (a real but minimal effect) but ignores observed Polar meltdown, which is the major factor. NASA director James Hansen used 2007 data (see attached graphic) to warn that when land based Arctic ice melts, seas will rise by 213 feet (64 metres). If so, most of London and New York will be submerged. Holland has floating villages – Britain needs to build floating cities – which are realistic, affordable, sustainable marine engineering proposals (Read AD2516 - After Global Warming). To start - Boris Johnson’s estuary airport should be on a floating island – long before 12 million Londonrefugees try to retreat to higher ground.